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Orsha vs Niva Dolbizno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Kudinov E. In: Zheleznikov G.
Out: Kudinov E.
67'
Sub
Galuza D. In: Dybin V.
Out: Galuza D.
67'
Sub
Pampukha P. In: Monich I.
Out: Pampukha P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Orsha
30%
Draws
58%
Niva Dolbizno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niva Dolbizno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Niva Dolbizno have won more games recently than Orsha.
  • Model gives Niva Dolbizno a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Orsha Clean Sheet 10%
Niva Dolbizno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Niva Dolbizno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.31 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Niva Dolbizno
0:0
Jun 7, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Niva Dolbizno
1:4
Apr 13, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha
2:1
Aug 17, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Niva Dolbizno vs Orsha
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 10 / 100
Niva Dolbizno 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Niva Dolbizno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niva Dolbizno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Niva Dolbizno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Orsha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Niva Dolbizno
0.88 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
5 : 1
Orsha
19 Sept
Orsha
0 : 3
Slutsk
11 Sept
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 0
Orsha
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

Niva Dolbizno

(Away)
10 Oct
Niva Dolbizno
5 : 2
FC Gomel 2
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
26 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
4 : 0
Volna Pinsk
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
13 Sept
Niva Dolbizno
2 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 28 18 6 4 57:28 60
2 Niva Dolbizno 28 18 4 6 72:33 58
3 SKA-1938 Minsk 28 17 5 6 61:32 56
4 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
5 FC Slonim 28 15 5 8 51:33 50
6 Molodechno 27 14 3 10 46:45 45
7 Soligorsk 28 12 7 9 55:45 43
8 BumProm Gomel 28 12 5 11 53:44 41
9 Ostrovets 28 8 11 9 38:41 35
10 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
11 Volna Pinsk 28 10 5 13 41:51 35
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 27 6 8 13 25:36 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 28 5 6 17 38:60 21
18 Osipovichi 28 5 5 18 30:68 20
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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