Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsha vs Ostrovets

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Mikhey E.
7' Event
Tikhomirov D.
19' Event
Goncharik K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and Ostrovets finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Orsha
15%
Draws
64%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostrovets come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ostrovets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Orsha Clean Sheet 16%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Ostrovets
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
2:3
May 8, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
6:2
Sep 15, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikhomirov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandrovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidovich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalinovskiy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 23 / 100
Ostrovets 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrovets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Orsha found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ostrovets conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Ostrovets
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
30 Aug
FC Slonim
1 : 2
Orsha
26 Aug
Orsha
1 : 4
Din. Minsk 2
21 Aug
Orsha
1 : 2
BATE 2
15 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 0
Orsha
Page 1 of 6

Ostrovets

(Away)
06 Sept
Orsha
2 : 3
Ostrovets
29 Aug
Ostrovets
2 : 0
Volna Pinsk
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
16 Aug
Ostrovets
1 : 4
BumProm Gomel
10 Aug
FC Minsk 2
1 : 2
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 23 15 3 5 61:29 48
2 Slutsk 23 13 6 4 44:24 45
3 FK Lida 23 14 3 6 44:36 45
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 23 13 5 5 45:27 44
5 Molodechno 23 13 2 8 41:34 41
6 FC Slonim 23 12 3 8 45:30 39
7 Volna Pinsk 23 10 4 9 39:40 34
8 BumProm Gomel 23 10 4 9 42:35 34
9 Din. Minsk 2 23 9 4 10 41:37 31
10 Soligorsk 23 8 6 9 44:42 30
11 Ostrovets 23 7 9 7 30:33 30
12 FC Minsk 2 23 9 2 12 33:42 29
13 Uni X Labs 23 6 7 10 23:30 25
14 Orsha 23 7 4 12 27:43 25
15 Smorgon 23 6 6 11 27:34 24
16 FC Gomel 2 23 5 6 12 32:44 21
17 BATE 2 23 4 6 13 31:54 18
18 Osipovichi 23 5 2 16 24:59 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
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