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Stadium Background

Orsha vs Ostrovets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Mikhey E.
7' Event
Tikhomirov D.
19' Event
Goncharik K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga game between Orsha and Ostrovets finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostrovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Orsha
30%
Draws
37%
Ostrovets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostrovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Orsha have managed 1.55 goals a game lately — Ostrovets are scoring more at 1.64.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orsha Clean Sheet 12%
Ostrovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Ostrovets
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
2:3
May 8, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Ostrovets
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
6:2
Sep 15, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Ostrovets vs Orsha
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Tikhomirov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandrovich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ostrovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidovich A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalinovskiy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 29 / 100
Ostrovets 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Ostrovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Orsha found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Ostrovets conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orsha stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Ostrovets
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
31 Oct
Orsha
3 : 2
BumProm Gomel
24 Oct
FC Minsk 2
1 : 5
Orsha
17 Oct
Orsha
2 : 3
Osipovichi
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
Page 1 of 6

Ostrovets

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrovets
2 : 1
Slutsk
23 Oct
Din. Minsk 2
0 : 2
Ostrovets
17 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 1
Soligorsk
10 Oct
Ostrovets
1 : 2
FC Slonim
02 Oct
BATE 2
1 : 1
Ostrovets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
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