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Stadium Background

Orsha vs Volna Pinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Central City Stadium, Orsha
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orsha host Volna Pinsk in the Pershaya Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Orsha have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Volna Pinsk's 1.63 scored and 1.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Orsha have won 1 to Volna Pinsk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.44) back Volna Pinsk to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orsha
20%
Draws
40%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Volna Pinsk have won more games recently than Orsha.
  • Model gives Orsha a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orsha Clean Sheet 16%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsha Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Volna Pinsk
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
5:1
Aug 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Orsha vs Volna Pinsk
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 66 / 100
Volna Pinsk 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsha Volna Pinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Volna Pinsk conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Orsha found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Orsha went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsha VS Volna Pinsk
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsha

(Home)
31 Oct
Orsha
3 : 2
BumProm Gomel
24 Oct
FC Minsk 2
1 : 5
Orsha
17 Oct
Orsha
2 : 3
Osipovichi
11 Oct
FK Lida
1 : 0
Orsha
03 Oct
Orsha
0 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
Page 1 of 6

Volna Pinsk

(Away)
01 Nov
Volna Pinsk
1 : 0
Smorgon
24 Oct
BumProm Gomel
1 : 3
Volna Pinsk
18 Oct
Volna Pinsk
1 : 4
FC Minsk 2
10 Oct
Osipovichi
1 : 1
Volna Pinsk
02 Oct
Volna Pinsk
0 : 2
FK Lida
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 31 20 6 5 61:30 66
2 FK Lida 31 21 3 7 57:44 66
3 Niva Dolbizno 31 20 5 6 81:38 65
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 31 19 5 7 68:36 62
5 FC Slonim 31 16 5 10 53:38 53
6 Soligorsk 31 14 8 9 62:46 50
7 Molodechno 31 15 3 13 53:51 48
8 Ostrovets 31 10 12 9 43:43 42
9 Volna Pinsk 31 12 5 14 46:56 41
10 BumProm Gomel 31 12 5 14 56:51 41
11 Smorgon 31 11 6 14 36:41 39
12 Din. Minsk 2 30 11 5 14 43:45 38
13 FC Minsk 2 31 11 3 17 46:59 36
14 Uni X Labs 31 8 9 14 32:40 33
15 Orsha 31 9 6 16 38:58 33
16 FC Gomel 2 31 6 6 19 43:66 24
17 Osipovichi 31 6 5 20 34:79 23
18 BATE 2 30 5 7 18 39:70 22
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)