Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2025 Central City Stadium

Volna Pinsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orsha play Volna Pinsk in the Pershaya Liga 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orsha averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. Volna Pinsk averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Orsha won 1, Volna Pinsk won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 9, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Orsha and 2.13 for Volna Pinsk. This points to a Volna Pinsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Orsha

16%

Draws

54%

Volna Pinsk

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Volna Pinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Orsha picked up more points recently compared to Volna Pinsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Orsha Clean Sheet 10%

Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orsha	Volna Pinsk
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	7	12
Draws	3	5
Losses	18	11
Goals Scored	1.07	1.79
Goals Conceded	2.11	1.61
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Volna Pinsk

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Jul 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga

Volna Pinsk vs Orsha

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Aug 10, 2024 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Volna Pinsk

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Apr 13, 2024 Pershaya Liga

Volna Pinsk vs Orsha

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Nov 4, 2023 Pershaya Liga

Orsha vs Volna Pinsk

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzhurov A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Irshev S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Grechikha M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsha 29 / 100

Volna Pinsk 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orsha Volna Pinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Volna Pinsk Win (2)

Secondary Pick Volna Pinsk & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orsha attacking → ← attacking Volna Pinsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsha scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Volna Pinsk let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Orsha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Volna Pinsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 41

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Baranovici	34	23	5	6	75:29	74
2	Dnepr Mogilev	34	20	7	7	59:37	67
3	Lokomotiv Gomel	34	18	10	6	56:34	64
4	Belshina	34	19	6	9	64:40	63
5	FK Lida	34	19	2	13	74:44	59
6	BumProm Gomel	34	16	11	7	56:36	59
7	Niva Dolbizno	34	15	10	9	68:56	55
8	BATE 2	34	15	8	11	70:52	53
9	Ostrovets	34	16	3	15	56:48	51
10	FC Minsk 2	34	15	6	13	49:47	51
11	Volna Pinsk	34	13	9	12	65:55	48
12	Belarus U19	34	11	9	14	45:48	42
13	Din. Minsk 2	34	10	10	14	34:40	40
14	Uni X Labs	34	10	6	18	54:72	36
15	FC Gomel 2	34	8	4	22	34:83	28
16	Orsha	34	7	4	23	41:94	25
17	Osipovichi	34	6	6	22	42:77	24
18	FC Slonim	34	6	2	26	30:80	20