Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Atletico F.C.

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Onate A.
38'
Valencia Y.
46'
Sub
Arrechea S. In: Ruiz A.
Out: Arrechea S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Atletico F.C. finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Orsomarso
15%
Draws
64%
Atletico F.C.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orsomarso come out ahead of Atletico F.C. on wins alone.
  • Atletico F.C. are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 21%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Atletico F.C.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.71 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Atletico F.C.
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Orsomarso
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Orsomarso
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Atletico F.C.
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Atletico F.C.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Onate A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 16 / 100
Atletico F.C. 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Atletico F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico F.C. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Orsomarso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Orsomarso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Atletico F.C.
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

Atletico F.C.

(Away)
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
09 Sept
Inter Palmira
0 : 1
Atletico F.C.
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)