Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Barranquilla

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Oviedo P. In: Gomez L.
Out: Oviedo P.
46'
Sub
Iriarte A. In: Orozco A.
Out: Iriarte A.
46'
Sub
Vergara N. In: Uribe N.
Out: Vergara N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Barranquilla finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsomarso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Orsomarso
39%
Draws
31%
Barranquilla
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Barranquilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orsomarso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 68%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Barranquilla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Barranquilla
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Orsomarso
1:2
Aug 19, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Orsomarso
0:2
Jun 4, 2025 Copa Colombia
Barranquilla vs Orsomarso
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Barranquilla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Caicedo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Barranquilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 41 / 100
Barranquilla 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Barranquilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barranquilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Orsomarso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Orsomarso scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Barranquilla
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
16 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
09 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Cucuta
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Barranquilla

(Away)
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
22 May
Cartagena
2 : 1
Barranquilla
17 May
Barranquilla
1 : 1
Union Magdalena
13 May
Bogota
1 : 1
Barranquilla
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)