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Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Bogota - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso host Bogota in the Primera B. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Orsomarso at 0.75 goals for, 1.11 against; Bogota at 0.87 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Orsomarso have won 2 to Bogota's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.13, favoring Bogota. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Orsomarso
35%
Draws
46%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bogota lately — more wins on the board than Orsomarso.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 20%
Bogota Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Bogota
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Orsomarso
2:0
Jul 15, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Bogota
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Orsomarso
2:2
Oct 22, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Orsomarso
2:3
May 12, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Bogota
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 32 / 100
Bogota 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogota let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Orsomarso's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orsomarso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Bogota
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0
Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Bogota

(Away)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)