Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Envigado

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Dawson D.
30'
Barrios D.
46'
Sub
Angulo L. In: Berrio F.
Out: Angulo L.

AI Match Summary

Envigado in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Envigado.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Orsomarso
35%
Draws
19%
Envigado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Orsomarso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Envigado lately — more wins on the board than Orsomarso.
  • Model gives Orsomarso a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Envigado have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 68%
Envigado Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Envigado
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.79 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
May 30, 2025 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
Mar 20, 2024 Copa Colombia
Orsomarso vs Envigado
0:1
Mar 5, 2024 Copa Colombia
Envigado vs Orsomarso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Envigado Compare

Top Goalscorer Marulanda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 50 / 100
Envigado 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Envigado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orsomarso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Envigado let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Orsomarso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Envigado has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Orsomarso found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Envigado
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1
Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6

Envigado

(Away)
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
06 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 2
Envigado
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
23 Aug
Quindio
1 : 0
Envigado
19 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
2 : 1
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)