Sport Picks
Orsomarso vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Garcia A. In: Diaz J.
Out: Garcia A.
39'
39'
Girado S.
39'
39'
Farias L.
AI Match Summary
Orsomarso in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsomarso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Independiente Valle del Cauca lately — more wins on the board than Orsomarso.
- Independiente Valle del Cauca are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 24%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsomarso | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orsomarso Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrios D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martinez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsomarso 17 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsomarso Independiente Valle del Cauca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente Valle del Cauca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Orsomarso scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Orsomarso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orsomarso VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsomarso
(Home) 14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Valle del Cauca
(Away) 15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0 Quindio
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0 Leones
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Jul
Atletico F.C.
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres Futbol Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
