Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso vs Quindio

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso host Quindio in the Primera B. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Orsomarso at 0.71 goals for, 1.04 against; Quindio at 1.06 for, 0.81 against. Head-to-head, Orsomarso have won 1 to Quindio's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 0.75) point toward Quindio. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Orsomarso
30%
Draws
23%
Quindio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orsomarso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Quindio come out ahead of Orsomarso on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Orsomarso taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 20%
Quindio Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso Quindio
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.71 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
2:2
Oct 19, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Quindio
2:3
May 13, 2025 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
0:0
Nov 18, 2024 Primera B
Quindio vs Orsomarso
0:2
Nov 4, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Quindio
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso 36 / 100
Quindio 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso Quindio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Quindio's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Orsomarso found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Quindio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso VS Quindio
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1
Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0
Real Cundinamarca
Page 1 of 6

Quindio

(Away)
21 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
3 : 1
Quindio
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0
Real Santander
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 9 5 2 2 11:3 17
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 9 5 2 2 16:12 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
7 Boca Juniors de Cali 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
8 Real Santander 9 2 5 2 11:14 11
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)