Sport Picks
Orsomarso vs Real Santander
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata, Barrancabermeja 
Match Events
21'
21'
Barreiro J.
22'
22'
Montero Alarcon F.
38'
38'
Sub
Martinez E. In: Valoyes Y.
Out: Martinez E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Orsomarso and Real Santander finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orsomarso.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Santander
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Orsomarso carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Orsomarso here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 68%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orsomarso | Real Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Real Santander
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Real Santander
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Orsomarso
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Primera B
Real Santander vs Orsomarso
0:2
Mar 11, 2024 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Real Santander
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orsomarso Compare
Top Goalscorer Parra J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Real Santander Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orsomarso 42 / 100
Real Santander 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orsomarso Real Santander
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Santander has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Orsomarso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Orsomarso found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Orsomarso VS Real Santander
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orsomarso
(Home) 10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Orsomarso
2 : 0 Real Cundinamarca
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0 Barranquilla
16 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 3
Real Santander
(Away) 13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0 Real Santander
29 Aug
Real Santander
3 : 1 Inter Palmira
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
20 Aug
Real Santander
2 : 2 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0 Real Santander
05 Sept
Quindio
0 : 0 Real Santander
06 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Real Santander
26 Jul
Cartagena
5 : 1 Real Santander
16 May
Alianza
3 : 0 Real Santander
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres Futbol Club | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Atletico F.C. | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)
