Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso W vs Dep. Pasto W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Sub
Sandoval A. In: Garcia H.
Out: Sandoval A.
42'
Sub
Rivera T. In: Asprilla F.
Out: Rivera T.
46'
Sub
Marin S. In: Perlaza X.
Out: Marin S.

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsomarso W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Orsomarso W
20%
Draws
64%
Dep. Pasto W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dep. Pasto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orsomarso W lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Pasto W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 23%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso W Dep. Pasto W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Pasto W
3:0
May 4, 2025 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Orsomarso W
2:3
Aug 10, 2019 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:1
Jul 20, 2019 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs Orsomarso W
2:0
Apr 16, 2017 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Dep. Pasto W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lasso Sanchez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso W 37 / 100
Dep. Pasto W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso W Dep. Pasto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Pasto W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Orsomarso W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Dep. Pasto W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Dep. Pasto W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso W VS Dep. Pasto W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso W

(Home)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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Dep. Pasto W

(Away)
20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
02 Aug
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1
Once Caldas W
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)