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Stadium Background

Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Orsomarso W Logo

Orsomarso W

1 - 2
FT
Indep. Santa Fe W Logo

Indep. Santa Fe W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Orozco N.
Assist: Zamorano M.
45'
Valbuena K.
46'
Sub
Graterol F. In: Huertas G.
Out: Graterol F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Indep. Santa Fe W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indep. Santa Fe W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Orsomarso W
20%
Draws
70%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Orsomarso W haven't matched Indep. Santa Fe W's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Indep. Santa Fe W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 19%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 32 38
Wins 10 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:2
Aug 25, 2026 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Orsomarso W
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:0
Sep 1, 2025 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Orsomarso W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orozco N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso W 16 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso W Indep. Santa Fe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indep. Santa Fe W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orsomarso W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Indep. Santa Fe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 38 matches.

Orsomarso W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso W

(Home)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 7

Indep. Santa Fe W

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Cali W
4 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
24 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 3
Dep. Cali W
20 Sept
Millonarios W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
18 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 2
Millonarios W
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios W 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
2 Atl. Nacional W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
3 Inter Palmira W 6 2 1 3 7:12 7
4 Inter Bogotá W 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 6 3 2 1 6:2 11
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 America de Cali W 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
4 Orsomarso W 6 0 1 5 2:11 1
Promotion - Liga Women (Play Offs)