Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orsomarso W vs Junior W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda, Yumbo (COL)
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vergara M.
Assist: Torres H.
30' Event
Asprilla F.
Assist: Torres H.
37'
Moreno Y.

AI Match Summary

Orsomarso W in this Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orsomarso W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Orsomarso W
30%
Draws
47%
Junior W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Junior W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Orsomarso W lately — more wins on the board than Junior W.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Orsomarso W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Orsomarso W Clean Sheet 27%
Junior W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orsomarso W Junior W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Junior W
5:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga Women
Junior W vs Orsomarso W
2:6
Apr 3, 2022 Liga Women
Orsomarso W vs Junior W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orsomarso W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asprilla F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Junior W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orsomarso W 38 / 100
Junior W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orsomarso W Junior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Orsomarso W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Away concern: Junior W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orsomarso W VS Junior W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Orsomarso W

(Home)
12 Sept
Orsomarso W
1 : 2
Indep. Santa Fe W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
04 Sept
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
Orsomarso W
01 Sept
Orsomarso W
0 : 0
Dep. Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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Junior W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Junior W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Junior W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)