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Orvietana vs Seravezza Pozzi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Bajic S.

AI Match Summary

Seravezza Pozzi in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seravezza Pozzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Orvietana
28%
Draws
22%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Orvietana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Seravezza Pozzi have won more games recently than Orvietana.
  • Orvietana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Seravezza Pozzi have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orvietana Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Orvietana
1:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Orvietana
4:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Orvietana
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orvietana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Seravezza Pozzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bajic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orvietana 59 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orvietana Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Seravezza Pozzi let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Orvietana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orvietana scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orvietana VS Seravezza Pozzi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orvietana

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0
Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1
Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1
Scandicci
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Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 0
Foligno
19 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)