Sport Picks
Orvietana vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy
Serie D - Group E 
Match Events
22'
22'
Bocci N.
36'
36'
Testerini M.
37'
37'
Panattoni M.
AI Match Summary
Orvietana in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orvietana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Orvietana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Orvietana lately — more wins on the board than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
- Orvietana are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 20%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orvietana | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Orvietana
2:2
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Orvietana
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orvietana Compare
Top Goalscorer Panattoni M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ricci L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare
Top Goalscorer Bocci N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Testerini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orvietana 67 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orvietana Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ORV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Orvietana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Orvietana scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Orvietana VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Orvietana
(Home) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
29 Mar
Orvietana
0 : 0 Cannara
01 Mar
Orvietana
0 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
(Away) 03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
25 Mar
Ghiviborgo
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
22 Feb
Siena
3 : 1 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)