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Os Marialvas vs Naval 1893

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Os Marialvas Logo

Os Marialvas

0 - 0
FT
Naval 1893 Logo

Naval 1893

Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Sa D.
90'
Sa D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Os Marialvas and Naval 1893 finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Os Marialvas
15%
Draws
36%
Naval 1893
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Os Marialvas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Os Marialvas haven't matched Naval 1893's recent run of results.
  • Os Marialvas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Os Marialvas Clean Sheet 68%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Os Marialvas Naval 1893
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Os Marialvas vs Naval 1893
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Naval 1893 vs Os Marialvas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Os Marialvas 95 / 100
Naval 1893 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Os Marialvas Naval 1893

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Os Marialvas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Os Marialvas scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Naval 1893 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Os Marialvas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Os Marialvas VS Naval 1893
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Os Marialvas

(Home)
20 Sept
UD Ovarense
0 : 1
Os Marialvas
13 Sept
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Os Marialvas
06 Sept
Os Marialvas
3 : 0
Fatima
30 Aug
Fornos de Algodres
0 : 4
Os Marialvas
23 Aug
Os Marialvas
1 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 6

Naval 1893

(Away)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Sernache 26 16 7 3 33:12 55
2 Oliveira Hospital 26 14 8 4 39:13 50
3 Naval 1893 26 14 6 6 36:23 48
4 SB Castelo Branco 26 14 4 8 43:26 46
5 Uniao Da Serra 26 12 8 6 38:27 44
6 Mortagua FC 26 11 6 9 23:26 39
7 Os Marialvas 26 10 6 10 33:28 36
8 Fatima 26 8 8 10 27:29 32
9 Lajense 26 8 8 10 37:37 32
10 GD Peniche 26 8 6 12 34:43 30
11 Samora Correia 26 8 5 13 27:35 29
12 Marinhense 26 5 9 12 20:38 24
13 Electrico FC 26 5 4 17 33:62 19
14 SC Lusitania 26 4 5 17 24:48 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)