Sport Picks

Brazil

Copinha

Marica U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Copinha encounter between Osasco Sporting U20 and Marica U20 promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Osasco Sporting U20 averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Marica U20 shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Osasco Sporting U20, 0 wins for Marica U20, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 09.01.26 ended in a 1:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.38 for Osasco Sporting U20 and 1.13 for Marica U20, suggesting the primary value lies in the Osasco Sporting U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Osasco Sporting U20

21%

Draws

29%

Marica U20

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Osasco Sporting U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Osasco Sporting U20 picked up more points recently compared to Marica U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Osasco Sporting U20 Clean Sheet 21%

Marica U20 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Osasco Sporting U20	Marica U20
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	9
Draws	9	4
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	1.52	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

09.01.26 Copinha

Osasco Sporting U20 vs Marica U20

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Osasco Sporting U20

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Marica U20

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasco Sporting U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Marica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel

1 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasco Sporting U20 49 / 100

Marica U20 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Osasco Sporting U20 Marica U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Osasco Sporting U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Osasco Sporting U20 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Osasco Sporting U20 55%

Marica U20 23%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Marica U20 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Osasco Sporting U20's attacks.

Osasco Sporting U20 48%

Marica U20 30%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Osasco Sporting U20 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Osasco Sporting U20 50%

Marica U20 29%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Osasco Sporting U20 vary their attacking width.

Osasco Sporting U20 53%

Marica U20 28%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Marica U20, allowing Osasco Sporting U20's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Osasco Sporting U20 45%

Marica U20 32%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Osasco Sporting U20, while Marica U20 takes risks to salvage a result.

Osasco Sporting U20 57%

Marica U20 33%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osasco Sporting U20 attacking → ← attacking Marica U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasco Sporting U20 have found the net in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Marica U20 have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 2.00 goals per match.

Osasco Sporting U20 remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Marica U20 suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 31

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chapecoense-SC U20	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Alagoinhas U20	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
3	Volta Redonda U20	3	0	1	2	5:7	1
4	Santa Fe SP U20	3	0	1	2	1:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio U20	3	2	1	0	11:1	7
2	Votuporanguense U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
3	Falcon U20	3	1	0	2	3:6	3
4	Galvez U20	3	0	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Goias U20	3	3	0	7:2	9
2	America RN U20	3	2	1	9:5	6
3	Tanabi U20	3	1	2	1:7	3
4	Sobradinho U20	3	0	3	3:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Recife U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Mirassol U20	3	2	0	1	3:4	6
3	Forte U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
4	Linense U20	3	0	0	3	2:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletico-PR U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Osasco Sporting U20	3	1	2	0	4:3	5
3	Marica U20	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Aracatuba FC U20	3	0	0	3	3:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Gremio Prudente U20	3	3	0	8:2	9
2	Ceara U20	3	2	1	6:2	6
3	Olimpico EC U20	3	1	2	1:6	3
4	Carajas U20	3	0	3	1:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club U20	3	3	0	10:0	9
2	Guarani U20	3	2	1	7:1	6
3	Assisense U20	3	1	2	2:9	3
4	Naviraiense U20	3	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	XV de Jau U20	3	2	0	1	6:5	6
3	Luverdense U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Trindade U20	3	0	0	3	1:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahia U20	3	2	1	0	9:0	7
2	Internacional de Limeira U20	3	1	1	1	3:6	4
3	CSA U20	3	0	2	1	1:3	2
4	America SP U20	3	0	2	1	0:4	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	America MG U20	3	3	0	9:1	9
2	Atletico-PI U20	3	2	1	7:3	6
3	Comercial U20	3	1	2	3:5	3
4	Noroeste U20	3	0	3	1:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo SP U20	3	3	0	0	7:2	9
2	Tuna Luso U20	3	0	2	1	1:2	2
3	Santa Cruz U20	3	0	2	1	2:4	2
4	Bandeirante U20	3	0	2	1	1:3	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guanabara City U20	3	2	1	0	7:2	7
2	Vasco U20	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	Velo Clube U20	3	0	2	1	3:5	2
4	I9 Futebol Clube U20	3	0	1	2	3:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20	3	3	0	5:0	9
2	Francana U20	3	2	1	2:1	6
3	Barra FC U20	3	1	2	2:5	3
4	EC de Patos U20	3	0	3	1:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ponte Preta U20	3	3	0	0	8:3	9
2	Meia Noite U20	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	Coritiba U20	3	1	0	2	11:6	3
4	Associacao Esportiva Real U20	3	0	1	2	1:11	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviaria U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
2	Cuiaba U20	3	1	2	0	3:1	5
3	America RJ U20	3	1	0	2	2:4	3
4	Quixada U20	3	0	1	2	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santos U20	3	3	0	0	7:2	9
2	Real Brasilia U20	3	1	1	1	4:4	4
3	Sao-Carlense U20	3	0	2	1	4:5	2
4	Uniao Cacoalense U20	3	0	1	2	3:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bragantino U20	3	3	0	0	12:2	9
2	Figueirense U20	3	1	1	1	5:8	4
3	Sao Luis MA U20	3	0	2	1	1:3	2
4	Cosmopolitano Sports U20	3	0	1	2	2:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Canaa U20	3	2	1	7:5	6
2	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	3	2	1	5:5	6
3	Criciuma U20	3	1	2	4:4	3
4	Piracicaba U20	3	1	2	2:4	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	3	3	0	0	10:1	9
2	Independente AP U20	3	1	1	1	1:2	4
3	CS Maruinense U20	3	1	0	2	1:3	3
4	Real Soccer U20	3	0	1	2	1:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Operario PR U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
2	Portuguesa U20	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
3	Vila Nova FC U20	3	0	2	1	2:3	2
4	Paulinia FU U20	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	EC Juventude U20	3	2	1	0	8:0	7
2	Sao Jose EC U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
3	Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20	3	1	0	2	2:4	3
4	AC Guaratingueta U20	3	0	0	3	1:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo RJ U20	3	3	0	7:0	9
2	Aguia De Maraba U20	3	2	1	3:2	6
3	Taubate U20	3	1	2	3:7	3
4	Estrela De Marco U20	3	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Fortaleza U20	3	3	0	10:3	9
2	Uniao Mogi U20	3	2	1	4:5	6
3	Confianca PB U20	3	1	2	4:6	3
4	Centro Olimpico U20	3	0	3	0:4	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itaquaquecetuba U20	3	2	1	0	3:1	7
2	Novorizontino U20	3	1	2	0	4:2	5
3	Nautico U20	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	SE Juventude U20	3	0	1	2	4:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fluminense U20	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Agua Santa U20	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
3	Brasiliense U20	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
4	Sfera U20	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ituano U20	3	3	0	0	8:2	9
2	Referencia U20	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Ivinhema U20	3	1	1	1	4:5	4
4	Real SC U20	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	3	3	0	16:2	9
2	Monte Roraima U20	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Remo U20	3	1	2	3:6	3
4	Batalhao U20	3	0	3	2:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo SP U20	3	2	1	0	2:0	7
2	Vitoria U20	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
3	Capivariano U20	3	0	3	0	5:5	3
4	Rio Branco ES U20	3	0	1	2	3:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osasco Audax U20	3	2	1	0	10:1	7
2	Atletico-MG U20	3	2	0	1	7:5	6
3	QFC U20	3	0	2	1	3:6	2
4	Uniao EC U20	3	0	1	2	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ibrachina U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Santo Andre U20	3	1	2	0	5:2	5
3	Bangu U20	3	0	2	1	2:3	2
4	Ferroviario U20	3	0	1	2	0:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Retro U20	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	CA Juventus U20	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	FC Cascavel U20	3	1	1	1	9:6	4
4	Sao Bento U20	3	0	0	3	3:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nacional SP U20	3	2	1	0	5:0	7
2	Internacional U20	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20	3	1	0	2	1:5	3
4	Portuguesa Santista U20	3	0	2	1	0:1	2