Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osasuna B vs Arenteiro

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Tajonar Facilities Stadium, Pamplona
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Auria M.
47'
Lopez A.
59'
Espejo D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Osasuna B and Arenteiro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Osasuna B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Osasuna B
15%
Draws
8%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osasuna B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Osasuna B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Osasuna B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Osasuna B Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna B Arenteiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Arenteiro
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Osasuna B
2:0
May 11, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Osasuna B vs Arenteiro
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Osasuna B
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Osasuna B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasuna B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoldi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna B 86 / 100
Arenteiro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna B Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenteiro conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Osasuna B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Arenteiro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna B VS Arenteiro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna B

(Home)
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Reus FC Reddis
0 : 1
Osasuna B
22 Aug
Huarte
0 : 1
Osasuna B
12 Aug
Real Union
3 : 0
Osasuna B
08 Aug
Osasuna B
0 : 1
Mirandes
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Arenteiro

(Away)
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)