Sport Picks

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Osasuna vs Espanyol

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio El Sadar
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Lozano P.
27' Event
Romero C.
49' Event
Munoz V.
Assist: Boyomo F.

AI Match Summary

Espanyol in this LaLiga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Espanyol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Osasuna
28%
Draws
50%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Espanyol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Espanyol haven't matched Osasuna's recent run of results.
  • Espanyol are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 21%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Espanyol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
1:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
0:0
Feb 4, 2023 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Espanyol Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 24 / 100
Espanyol 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Espanyol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Espanyol has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Espanyol has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Espanyol
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona38311695:3694
2Real Madrid38275677:3586
3Villarreal382261072:4672
4Atl. Madrid382161162:4469
5Betis381515859:4860
6Celta Vigo3814121253:4854
7Getafe381561732:3851
8Rayo Vallecano3812141241:4450
9Valencia3813101546:5549
10Real Sociedad3811131459:6146
11Espanyol3812101643:5546
12Ath Bilbao381361943:5845
13Sevilla381271946:6043
14Alaves3811101744:5643
15Elche3810131549:5743
16Levante381191847:6142
17Osasuna381191844:5042
18Mallorca381191847:5742
19Girona389141539:5541
20Real Oviedo386112126:6029