Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osasuna vs Espanyol

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fernandez Jaen R.
Assist: Fernandez Sanchez M.
17' Event
Fernandez Jaen R.
Assist: El Hilali O.
18'
Garcia R.

AI Match Summary

Espanyol in this LaLiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Espanyol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Osasuna
30%
Draws
23%
Espanyol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Osasuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osasuna lately — more wins on the board than Espanyol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 68%
Espanyol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Espanyol
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.22 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
0:2
May 17, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
1:0
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Espanyol
2:0
Dec 14, 2024 LaLiga
Espanyol vs Osasuna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osasuna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Espanyol Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Jaen R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 41 / 100
Espanyol 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Espanyol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Espanyol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Osasuna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Espanyol
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2
Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0
Getafe
27 Aug
Celta Vigo
1 : 2
Osasuna
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0
Levante
15 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1
Osasuna
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Espanyol

(Away)
06 Sept
Espanyol
1 : 1
Sevilla
29 Aug
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Espanyol
22 Aug
Espanyol
1 : 2
Real Madrid
16 Aug
Espanyol
3 : 0
Levante
08 Aug
Coventry
3 : 1
Espanyol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 4 4 0 0 17:2 12
2 Alaves 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
3 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
4 Real Madrid 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
5 Betis 4 3 0 1 5:5 9
6 Dep. A Coruna 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
7 Atl. Madrid 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
8 Osasuna 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
9 Real Sociedad 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
10 Ath Bilbao 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
11 Levante 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
12 Espanyol 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
13 Racing Santander 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
14 Rayo Vallecano 4 1 1 2 7:10 4
15 Getafe 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Celta Vigo 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
17 Villarreal 4 0 2 2 6:8 2
18 Malaga 4 0 2 2 1:7 2
19 Elche 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
20 Valencia 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)