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Osasuna vs Malaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osasuna host Malaga in the LaLiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Osasuna at 1.28 goals for, 1.62 against; Malaga at 1.59 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Osasuna slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2019, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.75) back Malaga to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Osasuna
20%
Draws
36%
Malaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osasuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Malaga average 1.59 goals a game right now, well clear of Osasuna's 1.28.
  • Osasuna are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osasuna Malaga
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2019 LaLiga2
Malaga vs Osasuna
1:2
Nov 3, 2018 LaLiga2
Osasuna vs Malaga
2:1
Jan 27, 2017 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Malaga
1:1
Aug 19, 2016 LaLiga
Malaga vs Osasuna
1:1
Mar 10, 2014 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Malaga
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osasuna 59 / 100
Malaga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osasuna Malaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osasuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osasuna found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Malaga let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Osasuna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osasuna VS Malaga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osasuna

(Home)
02 Nov
Dep. A Coruna
2 : 1
Osasuna
29 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 6
Osasuna
26 Oct
Sevilla
2 : 0
Osasuna
18 Oct
Osasuna
2 : 0
Racing Santander
11 Oct
Betis
5 : 2
Osasuna
Page 1 of 6

Malaga

(Away)
31 Oct
Betis
2 : 1
Malaga
27 Oct
Sporting de Alcazar CF
0 : 3
Malaga
23 Oct
Alaves
1 : 1
Malaga
18 Oct
Malaga
2 : 5
Real Sociedad
09 Oct
Malaga
1 : 1
Espanyol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 10 0 1 46:12 30
2 Atl. Madrid 11 9 1 1 22:8 28
3 Real Madrid 11 9 0 2 28:10 27
4 Betis 11 7 2 2 18:15 23
5 Real Sociedad 11 6 1 4 20:20 19
6 Sevilla 11 5 2 4 17:19 17
7 Ath Bilbao 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
8 Dep. A Coruna 11 3 5 3 15:14 14
9 Villarreal 11 3 3 5 15:15 12
10 Celta Vigo 11 2 6 3 10:10 12
11 Alaves 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 Rayo Vallecano 10 3 3 4 15:20 12
13 Getafe 11 3 3 5 8:16 12
14 Espanyol 11 3 2 6 13:14 11
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 11:22 11
16 Racing Santander 11 3 2 6 15:29 11
17 Elche 11 2 4 5 14:18 10
18 Levante 11 2 4 5 16:21 10
19 Valencia 11 2 3 6 8:17 9
20 Malaga 11 0 5 6 8:21 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)