Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Budimir A.
21'
21'
Osambela A.
24'
24'
Ciss P.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga game between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rayo Vallecano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rayo Vallecano come out ahead of Osasuna on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 18%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Osasuna | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Sep 16, 2024 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Osasuna Compare
Top Goalscorer Budimir A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Camello S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Osasuna 36 / 100
Rayo Vallecano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Osasuna Rayo Vallecano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Osasuna's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Rayo Vallecano let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Osasuna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Osasuna VS Rayo Vallecano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Osasuna
(Home) 19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
16 Sept
Atl. Madrid
4 : 0 Osasuna
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2 Espanyol
06 Sept
Alaves
5 : 2 Osasuna
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0 Getafe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
12 Sept
Osasuna
0 : 2 Espanyol
31 Aug
Osasuna
1 : 0 Getafe
24 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 0 Levante
08 Aug
Osasuna
0 : 2 Al Ain
Page 1 of 3
Rayo Vallecano
(Away) 19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
15 Aug
Sevilla
2 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
08 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
