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Osijek vs HNK Gorica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osijek host HNK Gorica in the HNL. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Osijek have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against HNK Gorica's 1.21 scored and 1.41 conceded. Past meetings favor Osijek slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.38) back Osijek to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Osijek
35%
Draws
42%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: HNK Gorica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • HNK Gorica haven't matched Osijek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives HNK Gorica a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Osijek Clean Sheet 17%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek HNK Gorica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
0:2
May 16, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs HNK Gorica
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs HNK Gorica
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Osijek
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 23 / 100
HNK Gorica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HNK Gorica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Osijek scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: HNK Gorica conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Osijek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS HNK Gorica
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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HNK Gorica

(Away)
02 Oct
HNK Gorica
3 : 3
Bravo
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)