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Osijek vs Istra 1961 Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osijek host Istra 1961 in the HNL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Osijek have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Istra 1961's 1.53 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Istra 1961 slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.06, favoring Osijek. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Osijek
30%
Draws
37%
Istra 1961
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Istra 1961

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Osijek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Istra 1961 a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Osijek Clean Sheet 10%
Istra 1961 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek Istra 1961
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Istra 1961
0:1
Mar 6, 2026 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Osijek
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Istra 1961
1:5
Sep 21, 2025 HNL
Istra 1961 vs Osijek
2:1
May 25, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Istra 1961
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 14 / 100
Istra 1961 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek Istra 1961

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Istra 1961 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osijek scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Istra 1961's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Osijek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS Istra 1961
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
30 Aug
Osijek
3 : 0
Slaven Belupo
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Istra 1961

(Away)
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
13 Sept
Istra 1961
3 : 2
Rudes
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2
Din. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)