Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osijek vs Slaven Belupo

Croatia Croatia

HNL Opus Arena, Osijek
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Jezic J.
37' Event
Omerovic N.
Assist: Heister M.
46'
Sub
Banovec L. In: Grgic A.
Out: Banovec L.

AI Match Summary

Osijek in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Osijek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Osijek
30%
Draws
41%
Slaven Belupo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Slaven Belupo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Osijek have won more games recently than Slaven Belupo.
  • Win probability leans Slaven Belupo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Osijek Clean Sheet 14%
Slaven Belupo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osijek Slaven Belupo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Slaven Belupo
3:0
May 22, 2026 HNL
Osijek vs Slaven Belupo
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Osijek
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 HNL
Osijek vs Slaven Belupo
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 HNL
Slaven Belupo vs Osijek
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osijek Compare

Top Goalscorer Jezic J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Omerovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Slaven Belupo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osijek 19 / 100
Slaven Belupo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osijek Slaven Belupo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slaven Belupo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slaven Belupo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Osijek's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Osijek has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osijek VS Slaven Belupo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osijek

(Home)
03 Oct
Osijek
1 : 1
Bijelo Brdo
19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0
Osijek
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Rijeka
4 : 1
Osijek
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Slaven Belupo

(Away)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
18 Sept
Rudes
2 : 2
Slaven Belupo
13 Sept
Hajduk Split
1 : 0
Slaven Belupo
09 Sept
Dragovoljac
0 : 5
Slaven Belupo
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)