Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kasarab M.
46'
Sub
Kasarab M. In: Harutyunyan V.
Out: Kasarab M.
48' Event
Alekseev I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev in this Belarusian Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Osipovichi
17%
Draws
70%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dnepr Mogilev lately — more wins on the board than Osipovichi.
  • Win probability leans Dnepr Mogilev's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Dnepr Mogilev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dnepr Mogilev, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dnepr Mogilev have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Osipovichi
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Osipovichi
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovardaev T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tereshchuk N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 14 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DNE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Osipovichi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Dnepr Mogilev has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Dnepr Mogilev
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3
Dnepr Mogilev
11 Jul
Uni X Labs
1 : 0
Osipovichi
05 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 5
Molodechno
27 Jun
FC Gomel 2
5 : 2
Osipovichi
20 Jun
Osipovichi
2 : 1
Orsha
Page 1 of 6

Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3
Dnepr Mogilev
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2
FC Minsk
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
28 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 0
Neman
20 Jun
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
1/16-finals
FK Lida-
Zhodino-
Molodechno1
BATE4
FC Slonim-
Isloch Minsk-
Uni X Labs-
FK Baranovici-
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
BumProm Gomel-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Soligorsk-
Neman-
Krumkachy-
Dynamo Brest-
Ostrovets-
Vitebsk-
Orsha-
Naftan-
Niva Dolbizno-
FC Gomel-
Volna Pinsk-
Slavia Mozyr-
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
Smorgon-
FC Minsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka-
Belshina-
Osipovichi0
Dnepr Mogilev0
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-