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Stadium Background

Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup Yunost Stadium, Osipovichi
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Kasarab M.
46'
Sub
Kasarab M. In: Harutyunyan V.
Out: Kasarab M.
48' Event
Alekseev I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Osipovichi
35%
Draws
32%
Dnepr Mogilev
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Osipovichi lately — more wins on the board than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • Win probability leans Osipovichi's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Osipovichi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dnepr Mogilev, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dnepr Mogilev have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 19%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osipovichi Dnepr Mogilev
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Osipovichi
3:2
Nov 25, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Osipovichi
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovardaev T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tereshchuk N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 42 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osipovichi Dnepr Mogilev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Osipovichi scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Dnepr Mogilev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Osipovichi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osipovichi VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osipovichi

(Home)
10 Oct
Osipovichi
1 : 1
Volna Pinsk
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
FC Minsk 2
1 : 1
Osipovichi
13 Sept
Soligorsk
2 : 1
Osipovichi
Page 1 of 6

Dnepr Mogilev

(Away)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -