Sport Picks

Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium

Soligorsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Soligorsk is highly favored to claim all three points on their visit to Osipovichi, backed by a win probability of 63%. Osipovichi averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded in recent matches. Soligorsk shows a form average of 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 0 wins for Osipovichi, 1 wins for Soligorsk, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.05.26 ended in a 0:6 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Osipovichi and 3.00 for Soligorsk, suggesting the primary value lies in the Soligorsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Osipovichi

15%

Draws

63%

Soligorsk

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soligorsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Osipovichi picked up more points recently compared to Soligorsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 3.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%

Soligorsk Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Osipovichi	Soligorsk
Matches Played	29	15
Wins	6	7
Draws	3	4
Losses	20	4
Goals Scored	1.28	2.13
Goals Conceded	2.52	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

15.05.26 Pershaya Liga

Osipovichi vs Soligorsk

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

0:6

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Osipovichi

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Soligorsk

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Sit deep

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osipovichi Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Soligorsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Shulyak D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Drozdovich A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.62

Avg xA / game 1.6

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osipovichi 22 / 100

Soligorsk 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Osipovichi Soligorsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soligorsk Win (2)

Secondary Pick Soligorsk & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +57.1%

7.14

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Soligorsk will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.

Osipovichi 24%

Soligorsk 50%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Osipovichi will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Soligorsk's early runs.

Osipovichi 21%

Soligorsk 66%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Soligorsk to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Osipovichi tries to push forward.

Osipovichi 22%

Soligorsk 63%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will see Soligorsk increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.

Osipovichi 23%

Soligorsk 60%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Osipovichi's defense, opening up opportunities for Soligorsk's forward line.

Osipovichi 20%

Soligorsk 69%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect Soligorsk to manage the closing stages, while Osipovichi searches for late drama.

Osipovichi 25%

Soligorsk 72%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osipovichi attacking → ← attacking Soligorsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osipovichi have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Soligorsk have conceded at least one goal in 53% of their last 15 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 6.00 goals per match.

Osipovichi remained undefeated in 1 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Soligorsk suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 25

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88

3.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SKA-1938 Minsk	14	10	3	1	36:15	33
2	Slutsk	14	10	2	2	30:16	32
3	Niva Dolbizno	14	8	2	4	33:16	26
4	FC Slonim	14	8	2	4	26:15	26
5	Din. Minsk 2	13	7	3	3	29:18	24
6	BumProm Gomel	14	7	2	5	29:20	23
7	FK Lida	13	7	2	4	23:22	23
8	Soligorsk	14	6	4	4	29:18	22
9	Volna Pinsk	13	6	2	5	20:20	20
10	FC Gomel 2	14	4	4	6	22:20	16
11	Molodechno	13	5	1	7	14:27	16
12	Orsha	13	4	2	7	14:24	14
13	Ostrovets	14	2	8	4	17:20	14
14	Smorgon	13	3	4	6	16:20	13
15	FC Minsk 2	14	4	1	9	15:29	13
16	Uni X Labs	13	3	2	8	12:24	11
17	BATE 2	14	2	5	7	19:33	11
18	Osipovichi	13	1	1	11	14:41	4