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OSK Fintice vs Chminianska Nova Ves

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

OSK Fintice play Chminianska Nova Ves in the Slovak Cup 2024/2025. Chminianska Nova Ves are favorites here. Recently, OSK Fintice averaged 0.88 goals scored and 4.38 conceded. Chminianska Nova Ves averaged 2.43 goals scored and 3.14 conceded. In past meetings, OSK Fintice won 0, Chminianska Nova Ves won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 28, 2024 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.01 for OSK Fintice and 3.41 for Chminianska Nova Ves. This points to a Chminianska Nova Ves double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
OSK Fintice
15%
Draws
70%
Chminianska Nova Ves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chminianska Nova Ves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • OSK Fintice picked up more points recently compared to Chminianska Nova Ves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.01 vs 3.41 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
OSK Fintice Clean Sheet 10%
Chminianska Nova Ves Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OSK Fintice Chminianska Nova Ves
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 1 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 0.88 2.43
Goals Conceded 4.38 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 3.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Slovak Cup
OSK Fintice vs Chminianska Nova Ves
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OSK Fintice 16 / 100
Chminianska Nova Ves 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OSK Fintice Chminianska Nova Ves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chminianska Nova Ves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Chminianska Nova Ves & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6%
1.06
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

OSK Fintice attacking → ← attacking Chminianska Nova Ves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSK Fintice scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Chminianska Nova Ves let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

OSK Fintice went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Chminianska Nova Ves lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 9
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.43
4.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.14