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Osmaniyespor vs Erciyes 38 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Sanliturk F.
Assist: Akcakin A.
68' Event
Sismanoglu O.
Assist: Yilmaz M.
74' Event
Alkan Y.
Assist: Sismanoglu O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Osmaniyespor and Erciyes 38 finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erciyes 38.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Osmaniyespor
15%
Draws
85%
Erciyes 38
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erciyes 38

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erciyes 38 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Erciyes 38 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Erciyes 38 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 11%
Erciyes 38 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osmaniyespor Erciyes 38
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Osmaniyespor vs Erciyes 38
2:4
Jan 18, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Erciyes 38 vs Osmaniyespor
5:0
Sep 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Osmaniyespor vs Erciyes 38
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osmaniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sismanoglu O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alkan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Erciyes 38 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasak C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanliturk F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osmaniyespor 10 / 100
Erciyes 38 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osmaniyespor Erciyes 38

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erciyes 38 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Osmaniyespor scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Erciyes 38's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Osmaniyespor VS Erciyes 38
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osmaniyespor

(Home)
07 Oct
Osmaniyespor
0 : 3
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
26 Sept
Mazidagi
4 : 1
Osmaniyespor
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
13 Sept
Karakopru
2 : 1
Osmaniyespor
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Erciyes 38

(Away)
08 Oct
Erciyes 38
2 : 0
Kahta
03 Oct
Osmaniyespor
2 : 4
Erciyes 38
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
12 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)