Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2022/2023

Nigde Anadolu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Osmaniyespor play Nigde Anadolu in the 3. Lig Group 3 2022/2023. Osmaniyespor are favorites here. Recently, Osmaniyespor averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Nigde Anadolu averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Osmaniyespor won 1, Nigde Anadolu won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2023 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Osmaniyespor and 1.38 for Nigde Anadolu. This points to a Osmaniyespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Osmaniyespor

15%

Draws

20%

Nigde Anadolu

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Osmaniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Osmaniyespor picked up more points recently compared to Nigde Anadolu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Osmaniyespor Clean Sheet 17%

Nigde Anadolu Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Osmaniyespor	Nigde Anadolu
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	6	2
Losses	13	24
Goals Scored	1.34	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.34	2.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 3. Lig Group 3

Osmaniyespor vs Nigde Anadolu

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Dec 11, 2022 3. Lig Group 3

Nigde Anadolu vs Osmaniyespor

Possession: 51% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osmaniyespor 62 / 100

Nigde Anadolu 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Osmaniyespor Nigde Anadolu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osmaniyespor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Osmaniyespor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osmaniyespor attacking → ← attacking Nigde Anadolu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osmaniyespor scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Nigde Anadolu let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Osmaniyespor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nigde Anadolu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 14

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aksaray Bld.	34	21	10	3	60:29	73
2	Kepez Bld.	34	21	9	4	53:21	72
3	Soke 1970	34	16	12	6	61:28	60
4	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	17	8	9	68:40	59
5	Cankaya FK	34	16	11	7	60:34	59
6	Hopaspor	34	16	10	8	37:28	58
7	Sapanca Genclikspor	34	15	7	12	46:40	52
8	Musspor	34	13	8	13	32:31	47
9	Bursa Yildirimspor	34	10	14	10	37:34	44
10	Tepecik	34	13	5	16	37:47	44
11	Izmir Coruhlu	34	12	7	15	47:42	43
12	Siirt Ozel	34	10	12	12	35:36	42
13	Erbaaspor	34	10	9	15	41:46	39
14	Akhisarspor	34	9	9	16	36:52	36
15	Fatsa Bld.	34	7	10	17	37:51	31
16	Osmaniyespor	33	8	7	19	25:54	31
17	Arguvan	33	5	11	18	22:60	26
18	Nigde Anadolu	34	4	5	25	20:81	17