Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica

North Macedonia North Macedonia

Macedonian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Trajchov D.
47' Event
Emush E.
61' Event
Stojanov B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Osogovo
35%
Draws
51%
Belasica Strumica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Belasica Strumica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Osogovo haven't matched Belasica Strumica's recent run of results.
  • Belasica Strumica are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Belasica Strumica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Belasica Strumica, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Osogovo Clean Sheet 17%
Belasica Strumica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osogovo Belasica Strumica
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 14 20
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
1:3
Aug 15, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Osogovo
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 2. MFL
Belasica Strumica vs Osogovo
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 2. MFL
Osogovo vs Belasica Strumica
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osogovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trajchov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Belasica Strumica Compare

Top Goalscorer Emush E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stojanov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osogovo 20 / 100
Belasica Strumica 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osogovo Belasica Strumica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belasica Strumica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osogovo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Belasica Strumica let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Solid form: Osogovo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osogovo VS Belasica Strumica
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Osogovo

(Home)
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Osogovo
0 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Detonit Plackovica
2 : 1
Osogovo
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 7

Belasica Strumica

(Away)
19 Sept
Gorno Lisice
0 : 0
Belasica Strumica
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Osogovo
1 : 3
Belasica Strumica
05 Sept
Kozuf Gevgelija
2 : 2
Belasica Strumica
30 Aug
Belasica Strumica
1 : 1
Detonit Plackovica
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ovce Pole 0
Vardar 5
BVK Konjare 0
Bashkimi 5
Studenicani 1
Pelister 6
Venec Negotino 0
Brera Strumica 8
Vellazerimi 0
Makedonija GP 14
Vardar Negotino -
Rabotnicki -
Kamenica Sasa 1
Shkupi 0
Teteks 1
Bregalnica Stip 4
Kozuf Gevgelija 0
FK Skopje 1
Detonit Plackovica 1
Shkendija Haracine 3
Novaci 1
Ohrid 0
Osogovo 1
Belasica Strumica 3
Krosu Sport Bitola -
Tikves -
Mogila 0
Arsimi 12
Pobeda Valandovo 1
Struga 10
Sileks -
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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