Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Osorno vs Santiago City

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Muller I.
34' Event
Cuellar D.
46'
Sub
Oyarzo L. In: Pezoa M. D. A.
Out: Oyarzo L.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Osorno and Santiago City finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santiago City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Osorno
20%
Draws
61%
Santiago City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santiago City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Osorno haven't matched Santiago City's recent run of results.
  • Santiago City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Osorno Clean Sheet 19%
Santiago City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osorno Santiago City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.46 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Santiago City
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Santiago City
3:3
Jun 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Santiago City vs Osorno
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Santiago City Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuellar D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 28 / 100
Santiago City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osorno Santiago City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santiago City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osorno's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Santiago City has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Osorno has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS Santiago City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Osorno

(Home)
13 Sept
Osorno
1 : 2
Santiago City
06 Sept
Brujas Salamanca
2 : 1
Osorno
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
16 Aug
Linares Unido
1 : 0
Osorno
08 Aug
Osorno
1 : 0
Concon National
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Santiago City

(Away)
26 Sept
Santiago City
1 : 0
Brujas Salamanca
13 Sept
Osorno
1 : 2
Santiago City
05 Sept
Santiago City
3 : 0
Concon National
22 Aug
Linares Unido
1 : 1
Santiago City
09 Aug
Colchagua CD
0 : 1
Santiago City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santiago City 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 Linares Unido 5 3 1 1 6:5 10
3 Concon National 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
4 Trasandino 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
5 Brujas Salamanca 5 2 0 3 3:7 6
6 Osorno 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
7 Colchagua CD 5 0 1 4 0:4 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)