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Stadium Background

Osorno vs Trasandino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Estadio Municipal Rubén Marcos Peralta, Osorno
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vergara D.
12' Event
San Martin T.
15' Event
Gutierrez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Osorno
35%
Draws
39%
Trasandino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trasandino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Trasandino average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Osorno's 1.48.
  • Model gives Trasandino a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Osorno Clean Sheet 20%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osorno Trasandino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Trasandino
2:2
Aug 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Osorno
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Trasandino
3:1
Jul 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Osorno
4:2
Mar 9, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Trasandino
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vergara D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer San Martin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quinones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osorno 20 / 100
Trasandino 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osorno Trasandino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trasandino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trasandino has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Osorno scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Osorno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osorno VS Trasandino
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Osorno

(Home)
10 Oct
Concon National
1 : 3
Osorno
04 Oct
Colchagua CD
2 : 0
Osorno
13 Sept
Osorno
1 : 2
Santiago City
06 Sept
Brujas Salamanca
2 : 1
Osorno
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
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Trasandino

(Away)
10 Oct
Linares Unido
5 : 4
Trasandino
03 Oct
Santiago City
1 : 1
Trasandino
12 Sept
Trasandino
3 : 0
Brujas Salamanca
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
22 Aug
Trasandino
0 : 0
Colchagua CD
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santiago City 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
2 Linares Unido 7 4 1 2 11:11 13
3 Trasandino 7 2 3 2 14:11 9
4 Brujas Salamanca 6 3 0 3 5:7 9
5 Concon National 7 3 0 4 8:11 9
6 Colchagua CD 7 2 1 4 5:6 7
7 Osorno 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)