Sport Picks
Ospitaletto vs Arzignano
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto 
Match Events
13'
13'
Nanni N.
45'
45'
Galuppini F.
46'
46'
Sub
Moretti M. In: Castegnaro L.
Out: Moretti M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Ospitaletto and Arzignano finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ospitaletto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ospitaletto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ospitaletto haven't matched Arzignano's recent run of results.
- Ospitaletto are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ospitaletto have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Arzignano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Arzignano
3:1
Feb 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Ospitaletto
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Arzignano
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ospitaletto Compare
Top Goalscorer Galuppini F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gobbi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Arzignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Nanni N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ospitaletto 77 / 100
Arzignano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ospitaletto Arzignano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Ospitaletto scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Arzignano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Ospitaletto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ospitaletto VS Arzignano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ospitaletto
(Home) 26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
05 Aug
Ospitaletto
1 : 0 Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 3
Arzignano
(Away) 20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
22 Aug
Lecco
0 : 0 Arzignano
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2 Arzignano
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3 Arzignano
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 3 | Trento | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Arzignano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Alcione Milano | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Treviso | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Lecco | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 12 | Carpi | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 13 | Novara | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Desenzano Calvina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1:3 | 6 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Pro Vercelli | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 2 |
| 20 | Renate | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
