Sport Picks
Ospitaletto vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto 
Match Events
15'
15'
Gobbi F.
Assist: Galuppini F.
17'
17'
Sub
Karlsson O. In: Italeng J.
Out: Karlsson O.
46'
46'
Sub
Motoc A. In: Mastromonaco G.
Out: Motoc A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Ospitaletto and Renate finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
35%
18%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ospitaletto's 1.52 goals per match outpaces what Renate have produced (1.48).
- Model gives Ospitaletto a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 68%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ospitaletto | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Renate
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs Renate
1:1
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Ospitaletto
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ospitaletto Compare
Top Goalscorer Gobbi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Renate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ospitaletto 86 / 100
Renate 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ospitaletto Renate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ospitaletto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ospitaletto scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Renate let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Ospitaletto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ospitaletto VS Renate
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ospitaletto
(Home) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2 Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
20 Sept
Ospitaletto
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0 Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1 Arzignano
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 3
Renate
(Away) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1 Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
