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Ossett United vs Widnes FC

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ossett United play Widnes FC in the Club Friendly 2023. Ossett United are favorites here. Recently, Ossett United averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Widnes FC averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Ossett United won 2, Widnes FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 29, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ossett United and 1.00 for Widnes FC. This points to a Ossett United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ossett United
15%
Draws
24%
Widnes FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ossett United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Ossett United picked up more points recently compared to Widnes FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ossett United Clean Sheet 23%
Widnes FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ossett United Widnes FC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.14 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Ossett United vs Widnes FC
1:0
Sep 28, 2019 FA Trophy
Ossett United vs Widnes FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ossett United Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Widnes FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ossett United 60 / 100
Widnes FC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ossett United Widnes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ossett United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ossett United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ossett United attacking → ← attacking Widnes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ossett United scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Widnes FC let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ossett United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Widnes FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 19
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63