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Osteraker IFK vs Ytterhogdal

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Frodin T.
56' Event
Vanderpool-Nurse K.
90' Event
Vanderpool-Nurse K.

AI Match Summary

Ytterhogdal in this Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ytterhogdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Osteraker IFK
6%
Draws
90%
Ytterhogdal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ytterhogdal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ytterhogdal have won more games recently than Osteraker IFK.
  • Model gives Ytterhogdal a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Osteraker IFK Clean Sheet 12%
Ytterhogdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osteraker IFK Ytterhogdal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Osteraker IFK vs Ytterhogdal
1:2
May 18, 2025 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Ytterhogdal vs Osteraker IFK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osteraker IFK Compare

Top Goalscorer Frodin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ytterhogdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanderpool-Nurse K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osteraker IFK 10 / 100
Ytterhogdal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osteraker IFK Ytterhogdal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ytterhogdal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Osteraker IFK scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ytterhogdal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Osteraker IFK VS Ytterhogdal
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Jarfalla26194360:1961
2Falu BS26167353:2455
3Bollstanas26145757:3647
4Sunnersta AIF26136756:4045
5Viggbyholms26136753:4345
6Nacka FC261331065:4542
7IK Franke26108849:4638
8Taby FK261041255:4734
9Kungsangen26961137:3633
10Skiljebo26871143:5231
11Korsnas26871140:5731
12Gute26641639:5522
13Ytterhogdal26422028:9014
14Osteraker IFK26251928:7311