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Osterbro IF W vs ASA Aarhus W

Denmark Denmark

A-Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Osterbro IF W play ASA Aarhus W in the A-Liga Women 2025/2026. ASA Aarhus W are favorites here. Recently, Osterbro IF W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. ASA Aarhus W averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Osterbro IF W won 0, ASA Aarhus W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Osterbro IF W and 2.31 for ASA Aarhus W. This points to a ASA Aarhus W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Osterbro IF W
15%
Draws
60%
ASA Aarhus W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA Aarhus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Osterbro IF W picked up more points recently compared to ASA Aarhus W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Osterbro IF W Clean Sheet 10%
ASA Aarhus W Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterbro IF W ASA Aarhus W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.73 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 A-Liga Women
Osterbro IF W vs ASA Aarhus W
1:5
Apr 6, 2026 A-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Osterbro IF W
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Osterbro IF W
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 B-Liga Women
Osterbro IF W vs ASA Aarhus W
0:3
Jun 15, 2025 A-Liga Women
Osterbro IF W vs ASA Aarhus W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterbro IF W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavsen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

ASA Aarhus W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksen I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fremo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterbro IF W 25 / 100
ASA Aarhus W 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterbro IF W ASA Aarhus W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Aarhus W Win (2)
Secondary Pick ASA Aarhus W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Osterbro IF W attacking → ← attacking ASA Aarhus W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osterbro IF W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

ASA Aarhus W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Osterbro IF W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

ASA Aarhus W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 62
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Midtjylland W1062230:820
2FC Copenhagen W1062219:920
3ASA Aarhus W1053220:1218
4Odense W1034313:1313
5Thisted FC W1032510:2111
6Osterbro IF W100195:341
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Midtjylland W1062230:820
2FC Copenhagen W1062219:920
3ASA Aarhus W1053220:1218
4Odense W1034313:1313
5Thisted FC W1032510:2111
6Osterbro IF W100195:341