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Stadium Background

Osterlen FF vs Hogaborgs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alm L.
20' Event
Ibishi B.
45' Event
Barny J.

AI Match Summary

Hogaborgs in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hogaborgs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Osterlen FF
6%
Draws
4%
Hogaborgs
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Osterlen FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Osterlen FF have won more games recently than Hogaborgs.
  • Model gives Osterlen FF a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Hogaborgs here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 16%
Hogaborgs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterlen FF Hogaborgs
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Hogaborgs
2:3
Jun 18, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Osterlen FF
3:2
Sep 29, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogaborgs vs Osterlen FF
2:0
May 26, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Hogaborgs
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterlen FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alm L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibishi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hogaborgs Compare

Top Goalscorer Mansour A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barny J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterlen FF 84 / 100
Hogaborgs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterlen FF Hogaborgs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogaborgs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Osterlen FF scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Osterlen FF has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Osterlen FF VS Hogaborgs
1 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.8
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Osterlen FF

(Home)
27 Jun
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Karlskrona
17 Jun
Torns
2 : 3
Osterlen FF
12 Jun
Osterlen FF
2 : 1
Nosaby IF
07 Jun
Oskarshamn
1 : 1
Osterlen FF
30 May
Osterlen FF
3 : 1
Staffanstorp United
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Hogaborgs

(Away)
03 Jun
Hogaborgs
2 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Feb
Angelholm
3 : 0
Hogaborgs
01 Nov
Hogaborgs
1 : 4
Staffanstorp United
25 Oct
Staffanstorp United
4 : 4
Hogaborgs
19 Oct
Hogaborgs
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kristianstad26184447:2258
2Karlskrona26165559:2853
3IFK Trelleborg26137658:4146
4Solvesborgs26136754:4145
5Vaxjo Norra261151046:3238
6Rappe GOIF26910729:3237
7Torns261041230:4634
8Linero IF261031339:4533
9Nosaby IF26961141:4833
10IFK Karlshamn261021431:4332
11Osterlen FF26931441:4330
12Hogaborgs26841443:5328
13IFK Hassleholm26641636:5822
14Balkan26491334:5621
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 (Relegation)