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Osterlen FF vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lloyd L.
62' Event
Ibishi B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Osterlen FF
20%
Draws
10%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Osterlen FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Osterlen FF have won more games recently than Simrishamn.
  • Osterlen FF are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterlen FF Simrishamn
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.64 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.64 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Simrishamn
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Osterlen FF
2:3
Aug 18, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Osterlen FF
4:1
Apr 23, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Simrishamn
1:4
Jul 2, 2022 Svenska Cupen
Simrishamn vs Osterlen FF
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterlen FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibishi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Simrishamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterlen FF 85 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterlen FF Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Osterlen FF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Simrishamn let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Osterlen FF's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Recent resilience: Osterlen FF stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Osterlen FF VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Osterlen FF

(Home)
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
22 Aug
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Osterlen FF
16 Aug
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Oskarshamn
07 Aug
Osterlen FF
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
Page 1 of 8

Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)