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Osterlen FF vs Vaxjo Norra Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ibishi B.
15' Event
Magnusson L.
23' Event
Magnusson L.

AI Match Summary

Vaxjo Norra in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaxjo Norra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Osterlen FF
35%
Draws
42%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vaxjo Norra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaxjo Norra lately — more wins on the board than Osterlen FF.
  • Vaxjo Norra are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vaxjo Norra have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Osterlen FF Clean Sheet 15%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Osterlen FF Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.59 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Osterlen FF
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Vaxjo Norra
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Osterlen FF
3:0
May 10, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Osterlen FF vs Vaxjo Norra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Osterlen FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibishi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Osterlen FF 27 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Osterlen FF Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaxjo Norra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Osterlen FF scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Vaxjo Norra let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Osterlen FF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Osterlen FF VS Vaxjo Norra
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Osterlen FF

(Home)
27 Sept
Osterlen FF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
18 Sept
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Osterlen FF
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
30 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 23 13 3 7 58:30 42
4 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
5 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
6 Nosaby IF 23 10 6 7 42:37 36
7 Vaxjo Norra 23 9 8 6 31:31 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Solvesborgs 23 9 1 13 35:42 28
10 Lilla Torg 23 6 10 7 31:38 28
11 Staffanstorp United 23 5 8 10 33:41 23
12 Torns 23 7 0 16 31:64 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 23 3 2 18 24:60 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)