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Ostermundigen W vs Luzern W

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ostermundigen W play Luzern W in the Swiss Cup Women 2023/2024. Luzern W are favorites here. Recently, Ostermundigen W averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. Luzern W averaged 1.42 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. In past meetings, Ostermundigen W won 0, Luzern W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 17, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.35 for Ostermundigen W and 1.11 for Luzern W. This points to a Luzern W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ostermundigen W
25%
Draws
60%
Luzern W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ostermundigen W picked up more points recently compared to Luzern W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.35 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ostermundigen W Clean Sheet 21%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostermundigen W Luzern W
Matches Played 1 33
Wins 0 8
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 20
Goals Scored 0 1.42
Goals Conceded 2 2.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Swiss Cup Women
Ostermundigen W vs Luzern W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostermundigen W 18 / 100
Luzern W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostermundigen W Luzern W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Luzern W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ostermundigen W attacking → ← attacking Luzern W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostermundigen W scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

Luzern W let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ostermundigen W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Luzern W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50