Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Falkenberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Marklund S.
Assist: Ozkan E.
60'
Sub
Mohammad E. In: Beqiri L.
Out: Mohammad E.
60'
Sub
Videhult W. In: Kallstrom H.
Out: Videhult W.

AI Match Summary

The Superettan game between Ostersund and Falkenberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ostersund
22%
Draws
60%
Falkenberg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Falkenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Falkenberg come out ahead of Ostersund on wins alone.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Falkenberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%
Falkenberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Falkenberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Ostersund
4:0
Jul 19, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
3:1
Nov 13, 2022 Superettan
Ostersund vs Falkenberg
2:0
Nov 10, 2022 Superettan
Falkenberg vs Ostersund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Marklund S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Widgren D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Falkenberg Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 18 / 100
Falkenberg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Falkenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ostersund's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Falkenberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Ostersund remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Falkenberg
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
26 Jul
Norrby
2 : 2
Ostersund
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
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Falkenberg

(Away)
26 Jul
Sundsvall
1 : 2
Falkenberg
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
17 Jul
Falkenberg
6 : 0
Laholms
11 Jul
Falkenberg
1 : 2
Landskrona
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)