Sport Picks

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Ostersund vs Orebro

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jamtkraft Arena, Ostersund
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Begic A.
Assist: Adjoumani Y.
20' Event
Astvald L.
Assist: Redenstrand C.
44' Event
Yasin A.
Assist: Redenstrand C.

AI Match Summary

Ostersund in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ostersund
39%
Draws
31%
Orebro
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Orebro haven't matched Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 16%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Orebro
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Orebro
2:4
May 31, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Orebro
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Ostersund
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Orebro
0:0
May 24, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Orebro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Begic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Orebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Astvald L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yasin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 30 / 100
Orebro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Orebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Ostersund scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Orebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Ostersund stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Orebro
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
26 Jul
Norrby
2 : 2
Ostersund
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
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Orebro

(Away)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1693432:2230
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Oster1682627:2526
6Landskrona1574422:1625
7Nordic United1574425:2225
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)