Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostersund vs Umea FC

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Johansson I.

AI Match Summary

Umea FC in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ostersund
33%
Draws
27%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostersund lately — more wins on the board than Umea FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ostersund taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 19%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostersund Umea FC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Umea FC
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Umea FC
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Superettan
Umea FC vs Ostersund
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Ostersund
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Ostersund vs Umea FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostersund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Umea FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostersund 40 / 100
Umea FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostersund Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Ostersund found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Ostersund remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostersund VS Umea FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostersund

(Home)
18 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 0
Landskrona
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Sundsvall
0 : 2
Ostersund
21 Jun
Ostersund
0 : 2
Norrkoping
14 Jun
Ljungskile
1 : 1
Ostersund
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Umea FC

(Away)
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
21 Jun
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Umea FC
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
07 Jun
Sollentuna
1 : 1
Umea FC
31 May
Umea FC
2 : 2
IFK Stocksund
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