Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostiamare vs Calcio Chieti

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Marrali M.
55' Event
Buono D.
70' Event
El Hadj C. G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Ostiamare and Calcio Chieti finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ostiamare
15%
Draws
65%
Calcio Chieti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calcio Chieti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ostiamare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Calcio Chieti a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 19%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Calcio Chieti
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.66 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ostiamare vs Calcio Chieti
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Ostiamare
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrali M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buono D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Calcio Chieti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 24 / 100
Calcio Chieti 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Calcio Chieti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calcio Chieti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ostiamare scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Calcio Chieti let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Ostiamare went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS Calcio Chieti
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0
Ostiamare
16 Aug
Latina
2 : 1
Ostiamare
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 7

Calcio Chieti

(Away)
03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3
Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0
Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0
Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0
Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)