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Ostiamare vs Grassina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Marzierli E.
37'
Nanni L.
83'
Salines E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ostiamare
15%
Draws
12%
Grassina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ostiamare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Grassina haven't matched Ostiamare's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Ostiamare taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 68%
Grassina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostiamare Grassina
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.47 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Ostiamare vs Grassina
1:1
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grassina vs Ostiamare
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdirosi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Grassina Compare

Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostiamare 77 / 100
Grassina 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostiamare Grassina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grassina has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ostiamare's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Grassina has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostiamare VS Grassina
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostiamare

(Home)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
Page 1 of 7

Grassina

(Away)
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Grassina
0 : 1
Flaminia
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0
Grassina
13 Aug
Montevarchi
1 : 0
Grassina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevarchi 34 21 8 5 68:32 71
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 56:38 60
3 Sporting Trestina 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
4 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 14 12 8 48:40 54
5 Siena 34 15 8 11 48:40 53
6 Follonica Gavorrano 34 14 9 11 48:37 51
7 Pianese 34 13 12 9 41:34 51
8 Lornano Badesse 34 13 9 12 51:44 48
9 Tiferno Lerchi 34 13 8 13 44:48 47
10 Cannara 34 12 11 11 41:48 47
11 Sangiovannese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
12 Montespaccato 34 11 8 15 40:47 41
13 Ostiamare 34 8 15 11 50:54 39
14 Flaminia 34 9 12 13 44:57 39
15 Foligno 34 9 9 16 35:48 36
16 Scandicci 34 10 7 17 42:49 35
17 Grassina 34 6 12 16 32:52 30
18 UC Sinalunghese 34 4 11 19 24:58 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 (Play Offs)