Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrava vs FK Pardubice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Simek S. In: Drchal V.
Out: Simek S.
20' Event
Drchal V.
Assist: Mahuta R.
33'
Jelinek T.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Ostrava and FK Pardubice finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Pardubice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ostrava
20%
Draws
57%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Pardubice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Pardubice come out ahead of Ostrava on wins alone.
  • FK Pardubice are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 16%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrava FK Pardubice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.55 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs FK Pardubice
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs FK Pardubice
1:4
Nov 5, 2025 MOL Cup
FK Pardubice vs Ostrava
3:4
Oct 1, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Ostrava
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs FK Pardubice
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrava Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrkon V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Pardubice Compare

Top Goalscorer Drchal V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanko A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrava 10 / 100
FK Pardubice 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrava FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Pardubice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Ostrava's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

FK Pardubice has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ostrava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ostrava VS FK Pardubice
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrava

(Home)
23 Sept
SK Kladno
1 : 2
Ostrava
19 Sept
Slovacko
2 : 2
Ostrava
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

FK Pardubice

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
29 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 2
Artis Brno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)