Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Gning A. In: Skrkon V.
Out: Gning A.
36'
Ghali A.
40'
Kubala F.

AI Match Summary

Ostrava in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ostrava
15%
Draws
51%
Sigma Olomouc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sigma Olomouc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Sigma Olomouc have won more games recently than Ostrava.
  • Win probability leans Ostrava's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 12%
Sigma Olomouc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ostrava Sigma Olomouc
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.55 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Chance Liga
Sigma Olomouc vs Ostrava
1:0
May 3, 2025 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc
0:0
Apr 22, 2025 MOL Cup
Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ostrava Compare

Top Goalscorer Micek J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sigma Olomouc Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ostrava 83 / 100
Sigma Olomouc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ostrava Sigma Olomouc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostrava found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Sigma Olomouc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Sigma Olomouc has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ostrava VS Sigma Olomouc
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ostrava

(Home)
23 Sept
SK Kladno
1 : 2
Ostrava
19 Sept
Slovacko
2 : 2
Ostrava
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Mlada Boleslav
4 : 0
Ostrava
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Sigma Olomouc

(Away)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Prostejov
3 : 2
Sigma Olomouc
05 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Bohemians 1905
29 Aug
Ostrava
1 : 0
Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)